The Holt-Winters seasonal method is a statistical technique used for forecasting time series data that exhibit trends and seasonality. It combines three components: level, trend, and seasonal factors, allowing it to adapt to changes over time. This method is particularly useful for data that shows regular patterns, such as sales figures or temperature readings.
There are two main variations of the Holt-Winters method: additive and multiplicative. The additive model is used when seasonal variations are constant, while the multiplicative model is applied when seasonal variations change proportionally with the level of the data. This flexibility makes the Holt-Winters method a popular choice for many forecasting applications.